Should I wait?

Everyone likes the idea of saving money, particularly on something as necessary as electricity. However, since the prices of solar panels historically came down, does it make sense to wait until they get even lower? When is the best time to install a solar system?

The answer depends on your estimation of the relative cost decreases compared to the cost of not buying now. That is, will the savings from reduced solar panel costs, be more or less than the cost of missing out on the savings available now?

If you live in California, where electric rates are the third highest in the country*, it is almost always better to install solar as soon as you can. The cost of solar panels has been decreasing about 3% per year, while the cost of buying electricity from PG&E has been increasing at a rate about double that, and is likely to increase. Compounding the reason to install now is that you will likely get an immediate 20% reduction in your bill. You have a big head start, and the forecast for electric cost increases is significant. In order to pay for the wildfires and infrastructure updates, utility bills are expected to greatly outpace the improvements in solar panel costs.

Installing now, starting the savings, and protection against future electricity cost increases almost always makes more sense than hoping solar panel costs will plummet, in California.


What if I plan to sell my property soon?

If you plan to sell, you should install solar now. The reduction in your electric bill will be capitalized immediately by a buyer, so you will reap the full advantage of the system’s value up front.

For example, if SolarPorts installs a system to offset a $5,000 per month electric bill, you pay nothing up front and your property’s value will increase by about $1,200,000 using a 5% capitalization rate. [ $5,000 x 12 months / .05 = $1,200,000 ]


How long will installing solar take?

(About 4-6 months from when you start.)

DETAILED PLAN

*Commercial Electric Costs per Watt

State 2020 2019 Diff (in %)
Hawaii $27.65 $28.51 -3
Alaska $19.32 $19.98 -3.3
California $17.64 $16.81 4.9
Vermont $16.46 $16.44 0.1
Connecticut $16.45 $15.46 6.4
Rhode Island $16.02 $15.86 1
New Hampshire $15.62 $15.81 -1.2
Massachusetts $15.41 $16.40 -6
New York $14.76 $13.44 9.8
Michigan $11.93 $11.41 4.6
Maine $11.90 $12.69 -6.2
Alabama $11.85 $11.89 -0.3
New Jersey $11.79 $11.75 0.3
Indiana $11.22 $11.17 0.4
Wisconsin $11.11 $10.73 3.5
Mississippi $10.94 $10.90 0.4
U.S. $10.59 $10.57 0.2
Montana $10.57 $10.71 -1.3
Kentucky $10.56 $10.51 0.5
Colorado $10.55 $9.97 5.8
New Mexico $10.51 $9.73 8
Tennessee $10.47 $10.69 -2.1
Kansas $10.36 $10.28 0.8
West Virginia $10.06 $9.75 3.2
Minnesota $10.04 $9.64 4.1
Georgia $10.00 $10.16 -1.6
South Carolina $9.94 $10.94 -9.1
Wyoming $9.88 $9.69 2
South Dakota $9.86 $9.37 5.2
Maryland $9.70 $9.77 -0.7
Ohio $9.70 $9.63 0.7
Delaware $9.58 $9.78 -2
Louisiana $9.48 $9.07 4.5
Florida $9.47 $9.63 -1.7
Arizona $9.40 $9.26 1.5
Iowa $9.37 $9.34 0.3
Illinois $9.14 $9.17 -0.3
Washington $9.12 $8.77 4
Oregon $9.04 $8.88 1.8
North Dakota $8.85 $8.68 2
Nebraska $8.77 $8.63 1.6
Pennsylvania $8.65 $8.87 -2.5
Arkansas $8.63 $8.71 -0.9
Utah $8.25 $7.75 6.5
North Carolina $8.17 $8.76 -6.7
Texas $7.93 $8.14 -2.6
Missouri $7.89 $8.26 -4.5
Idaho $7.70 $7.41 3.9
Oklahoma $7.55 $7.69 -1.8
Virginia $7.52 $8.17 -8
Nevada $7.30 $7.94 -8.1